Where We Are Now
February 2026: We're in the Hours era
Claude Opus 4.5
~5 hrs
50% success
GPT-5.1 Codex
~3 hrs
50% success
Claude Sonnet 4.5
~2 hrs
50% success
Gemini 3 Pro
~2 hrs
50% success
6+ years
Exponential trend
Minutes
→
Hours (NOW)
→
Days
→
Weeks